Tag Archives: DWSN

Jan 2021 Update – $OSS.v, $ISV.to, $STC.v, $VLN.to, $VMD.to, $SYZ.to, $MCB.to, $FRII.to, $RELL, $MTLO.v, $DWSN

Trying something new this month to catalogue some recent market activity and my thoughts around it.

Thoughts on Market Activity

I’m sure you’ve heard of activity around wallstreetbets reddit board and the short squeeze on some heavily shorted names (Gamestop being the most well known). Sorry to disappoint, but I won’t be participating in the short or long side of that corner of the market. It’s too risky for me. It is absolutely fascinating to witness in real time. I have been overly curious to understand what the thought process is for the individuals on each side. I will admit I have probably spent too much time listening to finance and non-finance people explain why they feel the way they do about it. Anyone interested in hearing some anecdotal data I’ve collected can send me an email or DM on Twitter.

I am not a macro guy. I can say that I have been finding interesting ideas lately, but I have not stumbled across businesses that I feel warrant a very large position in the portfolio. I am sitting on a higher than normal amount of cash, but that can change in a few weeks.

Posts this month

Relevant News from Companies Profiled Recently

  • OneSoft Solutions ($OSS.v)
    • Another customer signs on to integrate CIM into their pipeline operations
      • 4th customer in 3 months
      • This is a big positive and shares are up a bit for the month (about 15%)
  • Information Services Corp ($ISV.to)
    • They announced that they ratified a collective agreement with their in-scope unionized employees
      • They did this virtually which is good to hear
      • Provides 6 years of stability with the members with modest wage increases
  • Sangoma Technologies Corp ($STC.v)
    • Update on cyberattack
      • Had no material impact on sales or additional risks to the business
    • Huge acquisition announced
      • The had a call on Jan 29th to discuss
      • More details to come in the next few weeks
      • On the surface the acquisition seems like it is a good fit for the business and will further increase their value to customers, but the valuation is not cheap
        • This is common for Sangoma; all previous acquisitions looked a little off at first glance, but ended up being very well executed
      • I’ll likely to a more in depth post to help myself digest the news
      • As of this morning the shares are halted
  • Velan ($VLN.to)
    • CFO resigned to join a private owned company
      • Doesn’t seem a material event on the surface as he is staying to help transition the role
      • Would like to see a new CFO within a reasonable amount of time
    • Reported fiscal Q3 2021
      • The quarte was better than expected though covid is still having an impact on the business
      • They were able to execute the V20 plan remotely
      • They have the highest backlog in 8 years
      • Sale of the montreal plant resulted in a gain on the balance sheet
        • To me this gives additional margin of safety as looking at this as net-net gives no value to PPE which obviously has some value
    • I honestly think that this is one of those weird names that could earn more ebitda in a few years than the market cap in 2020
      • But that needs to be monitored
    • The bulletin boards are dead from this
  • Viemed ($VMD.to)
    • Released details of a recent Non-invasive vent study
      • Study was led by their CMO
      • Data was between 2012 and 2018
      • Seems like a good validation of NI vents and a helpful data point to bring to the table
  • Sylogist ($SYZ.to)
    • CI purchased shares
      • Bought 1.032 shares since Nov 10, 2020
      • About 40% of trading volume
      • These likely happened at the start of December as there was a spike in volume
    • New CTIO announced
      • Pedigree seems well
      • 225 options at $11.78
        • 5 year term that vest in equal tranches on 1st, 2nd, 3rd anniversary of $15, $17 and $19
  • McCoy Global ($MCB.to)
    • New board member announced (Cory Janssen)
      • Was co-founder of Investopedia
      • He’s quite connected as McCoy commercializes some of their digital products
  • Freshii ($FRII.to)
    • Alternative Monthly Report stating that Silver Ring Value Partners Fund LP
      • During the month ended December 31, 2020, Silver Ring acquired 195,500 Common Shares through open market purchases on the facilities of the Exchange, resulting in Silver Ring holding an aggregate of 2,806,233 Common Shares as at December 31, 2020, representing approximately 10.65% of the issued and outstanding Common Shares.1 Prior to December 1, 2020, Silver Ring owned, or exercised control or direction over, 2,618,733 Common Shares, representing approximately 9.95% of the issued and outstanding Common Shares.
      • Seems like a decent value shop
      • Nice to have a capital allocator own a large amount of the shares outstanding
    • Update on Special Meeting Circular announced
      • Reason for the special meeting is to reduce the stated value of the A shares so they can institute a NCIB
      • This is a step in the right direction
  • Richardson Electronics ($RELL)
    • Reported fiscal Q2
      • Results were better than expected and guidance was strong
      • Looks like wafer side of their business is rebounding and the current cycle could match or eclipse previous cycle
      • The CT tubes are seeing an increase in demand versus what was previously communicated, particularly seeing strength in Europe
        • looks like they could get the healthcare part of the business to break even closer than anticipated
      • shares spiked 20% on the news
  • Martello Technologies Group Inc ($MTLO.v)
    • Provided an update on operations
      • GSX (which was acquired in May 2020) is now fully integrated
        • Gizmo coupled with solutions MTLO already provides is set to take their DEM strategy to another level
        • Sales from all GSX and Savision were about 58% of rev in Q2 fiscal 21
      • Reiterated that legacy products have been declining and will mask core business growth
        • They noted that expenses related to managing the legacy part of the business are minimal
  • Dawson Geophysical – ($DWSN)
    • Wilks Family disclosed a passive stake of 2.28mil shares or 9.7% of the outstanding shares

2 Comments

Filed under Company Updates, Random Thoughts

Dawson Geophysical – $DWSN

Here is a another quick write-up on a net-net I stumbled on after looking at the Grahamiam Value site.

Background

  • Market cap 41mil
  • EV -3mil
  • 23.4mil shares outstanding

Chart via TIKR

Dawson Geophysical Company provides onshore seismic data acquisition services in the United States and Canada. The company acquires and processes 2-D, 3-D, and multi-component seismic data for its clients, including oil and gas companies, and independent oil and gas operators, as well as providers of multi-client data libraries. Its seismic crews supply seismic data primarily to companies engaged in the exploration and development of oil and natural gas on land and in land-to-water transition areas. The company also serves the potash mining industry. Dawson Geophysical Company was founded in 1952 and is headquartered in Midland, Texas.

They combined with TGC Industries in early 2015, so keep this in mind when looking back before 2015.

I mentioned a similar company ($PSD.to) earlier. Although Pulse will own the data and charge customers a fee to use the data for a specific timeframe and they have change in control measures in place in the event that the data changes owners.

Obviously the business has been hit hard this year. The company just reported the lowest quarterly revenue in over 10 years. They reported a fairly large operating loss of about 8mil and and EBITDA loss of 4mil. They have been able to remove some costs from the business to weather the storm. Although there is a balance between removed costs and keeping the right amount of staff to be ready for a return in activity. Either way, I don’t envy their position.

Income Statement

Given the gyrations in the business I think it’s best to look at the financials on a TTM basis.

We will likely see top line go below the previous slowdown in 2014 and 2017 as the pandemic drags on for a few more quarters (at least).

Margin of Safety

Looking at how the balance sheet, you can see that despite the business volatility the NCAV of the business has not changed much.

The drop in tangible book value has declined as the fixed assets have been declining as the depreciation is greater than the capital expenditures. There is still a further 40mil of PPE on the balance sheet as an additional margin of safety.

Risks

  • Management doesn’t own much of the common stock
  • Very cyclical and likely delayed rebound in their business
  • Many governments are pushing more and more electric vehicles that could have a material impact on demand for them

Conclusion

This is a company that does quarterly conference calls and they have been quite conservative and reasonable with investor expectations.

I also like that Gate City Capital owns over 10% of the business. They have proven to be smart capital allocators.

As with most net-nets, this is effectively a marshmellow test for adults. The business (and share price) likely recovers, but who knows when.

Anyone else look at DWSN?

Thanks,

Dean

*the author does not own DWSN at time of writing, but that may change at any time.

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Filed under Company Analysis