Category Archives: Company Updates

July 2021 Update – $OSS.v, $REPH, $PSD.to, $STC.v, $FTG.v, $XTC.to, $VLN.to, $RELL, $SVT, $FXC.to, $MCR.v

TIKR

I use TIKR to quickly look through ideas and check comparable companies. Would recommend. Referral code below.

They have created a global screener which is great. I recommend playing around with it. Lots of data.

https://app.tikr.com/register?ref=smob7c

Thoughts on Market Activity

Not much to report. The fear of runaway inflation seems to have cooled off to some degree at least for the short term. The delta variant (and uncertain vaccine effectiveness), vaccine hesitancy, staggered global reopening, and the summer doldrums have let to some choppiness over the last month.

My personal underperformance continued this month and for the full quarter. The main culprits are overweight positions in Sangoma Technologies and Viemed. The remainder of the portfolio has outperformed the indexes on the aggregate. Both will have news out soon and it will be nice to get an update.

What I’m Reading

I have been focusing on some more leisure time with family and strength training. Looking for book recommendations.

I am continuing my social media break (mainly Twitter). I continue to only use the app to check DMs. I’m convinced there is value in the app, but I will need to get better at cultivating a timeline that is valuable or considering any time on the app as entertainment and limit it accordingly.

Posts this month

None – sorry ☹

Developments on Companies Mentioned

  • OneSoft Solutions – $OSS.v
    • Share price has been weak lately
      • I think investors are getting impatient and looking for some very material announcements regarding revenue growth and getting to break even
  • Recro Pharma – $REPH
  • Pulse Seismic – $PSD.to
    • Big quarter
      • Rev up to 19 mil
      • Biggest quarter in several years
    • Paid off a bunch of debt
      • Paid of high cost subordinated debt
      • Paid back some of their revolving facility
      • At end of June they only have 4 mil in debt left
  • Sangoma Technologies Corp – $STC.v
    • Provided a business update for Q4
      • Rev of 167 mil
      • Ebitda to exceed 30 mil
      • This bodes well for integration of Star2Star
  • Firan Technology – $FTG.to
    • Reported Q2 fiscal 2021
      • A little weaker than I expected
        • Toronto facility had higher than normal absenteeism due to Ontario gov having a program to increase paid time off
        • Other locations also down
        • Tough simulator comps for this year
      • A bit of currency headwind
    • Still monitoring
  • Exco Technologies – $XTC.to
    • Reported fiscal Q3 with an easy comp last year
      • Outlook was positive
      • Expect capex to exceed $40mil in 2021, which means almost $15mil in Q4
        • Continued to see increased capex in 2022 and likely 2023
      • They set out some 5 year targets
        • 10% rev growth
        • Higher EBITDA and Net Income as well
        • $1.90 EPS in 2026 with no acquisitions
        • New programs, market growth, and market share gains
  • Velan – $VLN.to
    • Reported q2 fiscal 2022
      • They guided for a weak quarter but it was still weaker than I expected
        • Supply chain issues
      • Backlog highest since 2012 and working capital is ramping to meet demand
      • Continuing to hold and give them a couple more quarters to execute before drawing conclusions
  • Richardson Electronics – $RELL
    • Very strong fiscal Q4
      • Guidance was also strong
      • Sounds like lots of opportunities across the 3 different business lines
      • Will be interesting to see if they maintain this momentum
    • Received a patent for wind turbines
      • This is the ULTRA3000
      • A direct one for one replacement of GE batteries and chargers and can be installed with no modifications
  • Servotronics – $SVT
    • Noted this in the 10-K – The Company determined that its previous disclosure regarding management’s evaluation of the effectiveness of internal control over financial reporting was inaccurate as such evaluation was not based on a suitable, recognized control framework in accordance with Exchange Act Rule 13a-15(c).
    • Gotta love microcaps
  • FAX Capital – $FXC.to
    • Nothing new to report but trading at about 0.77x book which is a discount to peers
  • Macro Enterprises – $MCR.v
    • Gate City bought another 2.7% of the company
      • Now owns 15.3% of the outstanding

Feel free to reach out.

Dean

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June 2021 Update – $CSW/A.to, $OSS.v, $PSD.to, $IDG.to, $STC.v, $MCB.to, $MTLO.v, $SVT, $FXC.to, $URB/A.to

Happy Canada Day to my fella Canadians and Happy Independence Day to my friends south of the border.

TIKR

I use TIKR to quickly look through ideas and check comparable companies. Would recommend. Referral code below.

https://app.tikr.com/register?ref=smob7c

Thoughts on Market Activity

Really nothing new to report here. There is a still a debate on whether or not the spike is transitory or not. I don’t know. That’s it. Most commodities have rolled over to some degree, except oil and nat gas which have been strong. It will be interesting to see how long or to what degree we reopen if there is still 25-30% of adults with vaccine hesitancy.

Looking at my portfolio at the moment… I am looking to reduce the amount of companies I hold. I have too many small positions that are somewhat distracting given how much they will move the needle.

What I’m Reading

Deep Work by Cal Newport

I really enjoyed this book and have been trying a few suggestions from the book. I have been scheduling my day in 30 min blocks that consist of either shallow and deep work. I have also removed much of my presence from social media. At least, I don’t check my Twitter timeline, but I will continue to utilize and check my DMs. I’ll give it a try for a month or so and see how it goes.

I also like to read books on parenting and relationships. Message me if you’re interested.

Posts this month

Developments on Companies Mentioned

  • Corby Spirit and Wine Limited – $CSW/A.to & $CSW/B.to
    • Lawsuit filed against them
      • Lawsuit filed on black discoloration near the warehouse
      • They stopped managing the warehouse june 30, 2020
  • OneSoft Solutions – $OSS.v
    • New teaming agreement
      • First from Worley via Advisian
      • First in Australia
      • Began trials in March 2020
      • I found this interesting from the PR
        • Hossein Khalilpasha, Advisian Principal Integrity Engineer and Asset Integrity Lead stated, “The case studies we performed demonstrated that our analysis of clients’ data using CIM with machine learning is not only more accurate, much faster and less costly for clients, but also provides state-of-the-art 3D visualization of pipeline data that empowers engineers to surface and contextualize pipeline conditions and threats that legacy integrity management systems and processes used today do not rival.”
  • Pulse Seismic – $PSD.to
    • Burgundy has been selling shares
      • Sold 360k shares
      • Still own 5.2 mil shares or 9.7%
  • Indigo Books & Music – $IDG.to
    • Reported annual results
      • Really hard to judge the business given the lockdowns in place throughout the year
    • CEO bought about 440k worth of stock at these prices
    • Though the business has proved resilient, the business does not attract me at these prices and I will not be updating it moving forward.
  • Sangoma Technologies Corp – $STC.v
    • CEO made a couple of small purchases during the sell off
  • McCoy Global – $MCB.to
    • Announced the formation of a special committee after AGM
      • I view this as positive
      • I think if they shopped this investor deck around outside O&G and an existing business they would have gotten a substantially higher valuation
  • Martello Technologies Group Inc – $MTLO.v
    • Reported fiscal Q4 2021
      • Market didn’t like it
      • Hit by fx
      • Rev up yoy with GSX acquisition
      • Adj ebitda worse yoy
      • Sounds like they have lots of promise in the future
      • Still monitoring
  • Servotronics – $SVT
    • Lawsuit filed against the CEO and the Ontario Knife Company
      • CEO has been placed on administrative leave
      • Gotta love microcaps
  • FAX Capital – $FXC.to
    • Announced the renewal of NCIB
      • Up to 1.5 mil shares or 10%
      • Daily limit of 14,758 shares
    • Investment in BioSyent
      • They own just over 2mil shares or 16.69% of the common
  • Urbana Corp – $URB/A.to

Hope everyone is having a wonderful summer and gets vaccinated.

Dean

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$ISDR update

A year ago I wrote a post on Issuer Direct. Since then the shares have done well and are up about 130%. This compares to the Russell 2000 and Nasdaq which are up about 60% and 40% respectively. It’s easy to take a victory lap here, but really I should have purchased more shares as the company executed and shares were still well below $20.

Update

ISDR has been to navigate the current landscape very well and capitalize on the WFH/remote climate. They quickly pivoted their product development to service customers in the new environment by offering virtual meetings and investor conferences.

They have managed to grow customer count throughout 2020, particularly on the private company side.

Initially, my thoughts were that many small and medium sized public companies would migrate to ISDR products. My thinking was that public companies would utilize ACCESSWIRE (as a standalone or through a Platform id subscription). The more I learned about the business, the more I appreciated the potential, at least in the short to medium term, is with private companies.

Given how underserved private companies are, product development and marketing have been focused here. A couple of new products are expected to be launched later this year to drive new customer growth as well as ARPU. As well the company continues to invest in ACCESSWIRE with the recent addition of e-commerce.

Valuation

I know valuation is a curse word in 2021, regardless a quick look at valuation shows that ISDR has managed to catch a bid. Though not cheap, this isn’t something that is overpriced in my mind.

Looking at forward (2022) estimates the numbers look a little more appealing. Of course, such estimates could be off so take them with a grain of salt.

Long Term

Looking to the future, I would expect more customers to become subscribers to Platform id. This gives an indication that customers are not just utilizing ISDR for infrequent use of a few products, but that on the aggregate the customers see value in utilizing much (if not all) of the Platform id suite.

As of Q1 the company had 386 Platform id subscribers with a goal of hitting 500 by end of the year. This is a metric I will be watching closely.

Risks

  • In the short term, the company continues to expand headcount and invest in R&D. This could lead to some operating margin compression until they scale into the new expenses.
  • The new products (newsroom and brand asset manager) could be delayed or adoption could be slower than expected.
  • The company could execute well, but the valuation could contract.
  • Q2 2021 is when the tougher comps present themselves and shares could churn sideways for awhile if the market expects higher growth rates than ISDR provides.

Conclusion

I continue to hold my shares and am looking to average up as the opportunity presents itself. I consider ISDR a core holding as part of my portfolio. I believe there is lots of white space for the company and wouldn’t be surprised if a larger competitor attempts to gobble ISDR up. As well, they could use cash and/or lever up the balance sheet a bit for an acquisition.

Anyone else follow ISDR?

Cheers,

Dean

*I am long ISDR at time of writing.

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